The announcement of the 2025 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel has once again turned the spotlight on the foundational drivers of global prosperity. This year, the prestigious award—often simply called the Nobel Prizes in Economics—goes to three outstanding researchers: Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt.
Their collective body of work provides a robust and compelling answer to one of humanity’s most enduring puzzles: Why did sustained economic growth begin, and what keeps it going today?
The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences honored them “for having explained innovation-driven economic growth.” Mokyr’s half of the prize recognizes his historical work on the prerequisites for sustained growth through technological progress, while Aghion and Howitt share the other half for their rigorous mathematical model of “sustained growth through creative destruction.” This is more than academic theory; it’s a crucial framework for policymakers, entrepreneurs, and anyone interested in the future of global wealth.
Joel Mokyr’s research is a deep dive into economic history, tracing the roots of the Industrial Revolution and the subsequent centuries of continuous growth. His central insight is that true, sustained growth required a shift in how knowledge was valued and transmitted.
Mokyr argues that, before the modern era, innovation was often based on “know-how”—practical knowledge of what worked—without the underlying “know-why”—a scientific explanation for why it worked.
Mokyr’s work stresses that for this cycle to thrive, society must be open to new ideas and adaptable to change. Threats to continued growth—such as monopolies on knowledge or restrictions on academic freedom—must be actively countered. The statistic here is stark: For millennia, global economic growth was near zero.
It was only in the last two centuries, fueled by this intellectual revolution, that humanity experienced the “hockey stick” of exponential growth, lifting billions out of poverty.
If Mokyr explains how the engine started, Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt explain how it continues to run. They provided a formal, mathematical model for Joseph Schumpeter’s famous concept of “creative destruction.” This theory is foundational to understanding modern capitalism.
Creative destruction describes the process where new, superior innovations constantly replace outdated products, technologies, and even entire companies.
Aghion and Howitt’s key contribution was showing that this seemingly brutal cycle is not a sign of economic instability, but the very mechanism for sustained, long-run growth. Their model demonstrates that the expected profits from future innovation incentivize firms to invest in Research and Development (R&D). Without the possibility of destroying the old order, the incentive for new investment fades, and the economy stagnates.
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As Howitt himself has often stated, “Growth is intrinsically a disequilibrium process.” This means that policymakers shouldn’t try to stop the destruction; they should instead focus on policies that keep the flow of innovation robust and ensure that those displaced by the “destruction” part can transition smoothly into the jobs created by the “creative” part.
The work of the 2025 Nobel Prizes in Economics laureates holds enormous practical value. In an era dominated by rapid advancements in AI, biotech, and renewable energy, their insights are more critical than ever.
This focus on innovation-driven growth reflects a recent trend in the Nobel selection, which has increasingly recognized work addressing contemporary global challenges, following the 2023 award to Claudia Goldin on the gender gap in the labor market and the 2024 award on institutional prosperity.
The 2025 Nobel Prizes in Economics serves as a powerful reminder that our prosperity is not a given. It is a fragile, engineered outcome of a continuous, sometimes turbulent, cycle of creation and destruction, driven by a powerful feedback loop between science and technology. Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt have gifted us the theoretical lens to understand this engine.
Now, the responsibility falls to policymakers and business leaders to apply these lessons—to foster open societies, support foundational research, and embrace the creative disruption necessary for a richer, more innovative future.
The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2025 was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt.
The three laureates were honored “for having explained innovation-driven economic growth.” Mokyr’s work focused on the historical prerequisites for growth through technological progress, while Aghion and Howitt developed the modern mathematical theory of sustained growth through creative destruction.
“Creative destruction” is the process within capitalism where new innovations and technologies constantly replace—and thus destroy—older technologies, products, and firms. It is considered a necessary, albeit often painful, force for long-run economic expansion.
The 2025 prize continues a recent trend of recognizing work on contemporary, real-world issues. While the 2024 prize focused on institutions and prosperity, and the 2023 prize on labor market gender gaps, this year’s focus on innovation and technological progress is highly relevant to the current global focus on AI, R&D, and future economic engines.
Their work is vital because it shows that sustained prosperity is not guaranteed. It highlights that governments must actively cultivate the right environment—intellectual openness (Mokyr) and sufficient competitive incentive to innovate (Aghion & Howitt)—to prevent stagnation and ensure technology translates into broad economic benefit.
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